adseguy wrote:If you can predict them like Northerner in Sheboygan you'll have a following, that's for sure.
Well I'm no Tom Skilling or Northerner or Scotty, but here's what I look for...
Minimum 15 degree temp differential between the land and the lake.
The MC meter has a photo voltaic sensor (PAR) you want to see spiking over 1300 mid day. http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/metdata/mcy/
(meaning it needs to be sunny out)
If its rained recently its weaker or non existent. If its been dry its stronger.
Also, they work best when you have a weak offshore flow early in the day. Ideal setup is a weak south or southeast turning north.
The "thermal" starts up around 4, dies around 6 or 7 and is between 5 and 15 knots out of the northeast.
That thermal will also tend to cancel out or mess with wind from other directions as well. If you've ever been skunked on a westerly or northwest at MC that might be why...
That was on a 5-10 southerly forecast over the weekend. Its more often than not bigger kite (12-18m) wind but its usually rideable for an hour or 2.
If you have an existing north flow over the lake it causes a nice 5-10 knot bump til sunset.