This Week (10-25 to 10-29)

Kitesurfing or snowkiting...if the wind's blowin'...where you goin?

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This Week (10-25 to 10-29)

Postby Misfit » Mon Oct 25, 2010 11:27 am

Hey Everybody,
This weeks forecast looks really.... well...... you decide on what to call it.

STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING

REST OF TODAY
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING SOUTH.
PATCHY FOG THROUGH MID MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS
MORNING. WAVES 2 TO 4 FT.

TONIGHT
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO GALES TO 45 KT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVERNIGHT. WAVES BUILDING TO 8 TO
12 FT OVERNIGHT.

TUESDAY
SOUTH STORM FORCE WINDS TO 50 KT BECOMING SOUTHWEST.
SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING. WAVES BUILDING
TO 12 TO 16 FT.

TUESDAY NIGHT
SOUTHWEST STORM FORCE WINDS TO 50 KT. WAVES
BUILDING TO 14 TO 18 FT.

WEDNESDAY
SOUTHWEST STORM FORCE WINDS TO 50 KT. WAVES 14 TO 18
FT.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SOUTHWEST GALES TO 35 KT BECOMING WEST AT 30
KT. WAVES SUBSIDING TO 12 TO 16 FT.

THURSDAY
WEST WINDS TO 30 KT. WAVES SUBSIDING TO 10 TO 14 FT.

FRIDAY
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT. WAVES SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 6
FT.


Please be careful

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Postby Herbie » Mon Oct 25, 2010 11:48 am

Except for the lightening...

:D :lol: :D :lol:
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Postby JEF » Mon Oct 25, 2010 1:19 pm

assuming that's the "beyond five nautical miles of shore" forcast...no?
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Postby Rorke » Mon Oct 25, 2010 2:26 pm

Does anybody have a 4m kite I can borrow?
Preferably one that can be destroyed.

Thanks in advance. :lol:
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Postby gbleck » Mon Oct 25, 2010 2:54 pm

I'm thinking Wolf on Wed. Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.
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Postby Safe_Cracker » Mon Oct 25, 2010 3:49 pm

JEF wrote:assuming that's the "beyond five nautical miles of shore" forcast...no?


That is the near shore forecast which means within 5 nautical miles.


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Postby JEF » Mon Oct 25, 2010 4:17 pm

For where?
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Postby Derek » Mon Oct 25, 2010 5:32 pm

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Postby xwindsurf » Mon Oct 25, 2010 5:32 pm

Jeff,
If you go to marine forecast, for example here
http://www.wunderground.com/MAR/LM/741.html
and click on different sectors, you'll see this is remarkably constant for the southern part of the lake. I haven't seen anything like that in a couple of years at least.
But I have a different question - can you guys figure our the vast difference between the marine storm warning and all the models from iKitesurf, and Windfinder? The models say 35 mil max, with most of the time around 30 for tomorrow, and 25 for Wednesday, while MF says 55 knots
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Postby adseguy » Mon Oct 25, 2010 5:50 pm

I was watching the weather channel and they did a small piece on this storm coming. Apparently it's a HUGE pressure differential. The low pressure is going to dip as low as 958mB which is VERY low. They haven't seen this since the storm of 1918 so weather models at this point are just experimental and they will learn a lot from this. Exciting times apparently for all the weather gooroos.

Get that Speed3 15M foil out gbleck.....I hear they have good de-power you should be fine :lol:
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...

Postby nG » Mon Oct 25, 2010 5:50 pm

For those that ARE planning to go out:

Be careful and have an awesome day!
:D
G
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Postby Safe_Cracker » Mon Oct 25, 2010 6:05 pm

Soooo what size is everyone gonna try to hold down and how much do you weigh ? :wink:



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Postby Rorke » Mon Oct 25, 2010 6:12 pm

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Postby JEF » Mon Oct 25, 2010 6:57 pm

xwindsurf wrote:Jeff,
If you go to marine forecast, for example here
http://www.wunderground.com/MAR/LM/741.html
and click on different sectors, you'll see this is remarkably constant for the southern part of the lake.


I was looking at the wave heights. I don't doubt the winds. The chicago and south side of the lake forecast is predicting 10 foot waves. That's why I was asking where this forecast was for. I don't doubt the wind.

Tonight
South winds 20 to 25 kt increasing to storm force winds to 50 kt by early morning. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the evening. Chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight...then showers and thunderstorms late. Waves 1 to 3 ft building to 4 to 6 ft in the late evening and overnight.
Tuesday
Southwest storm force winds to 55 kt. Showers and thunderstorms in the morning. Waves building to 7 to 10 ft.
Tuesday Night
Southwest storm force winds to 60 kt diminishing to storm force winds to 55 kt after midnight. Partly cloudy. Waves 7 to 10 ft.
Wednesday
West storm force winds to 55 kt. Mostly sunny. Waves 7 to 10 ft.
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Postby Safe_Cracker » Mon Oct 25, 2010 7:25 pm

Me thinks too many fools dancing for wind at one time! :lol:


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Postby xwindsurf » Mon Oct 25, 2010 8:18 pm

JEF wrote: Waves 7 to 10 ft.

For SW winds, the lake is usually almost completely flat on the Chicago side. If you have 7-10 ft forecast, that's serious crap.
The 20-footers and more would be showing where there is any on-shore element to the wind.
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Postby Safe_Cracker » Mon Oct 25, 2010 8:32 pm

I stopped in at Keegs today when the SW kicked in and the wind was really stable and water was FLAT... I tossed up my 13m and did a little skimming...


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Riding in nukin winds.

Postby BioHorn » Mon Oct 25, 2010 8:36 pm

Rorke wrote:Does anybody have a 4m kite I can borrow?
Preferably one that can be destroyed.

Thanks in advance. :lol:


Almost peed in my pants on that one!

It gets wacky after 50 mph. We went out in 62 mph winds with a 2.5 M trainer kite. Here is a vid (warning, it is a bit underwhelming):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JajQlJDKiro

We were going to hit a local sandbar, but after contemplating the boat ride out (or more like it back!) decided against it.

You guys have fun and be safe. Tell us all about it when you get back.
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Postby anderson » Mon Oct 25, 2010 8:39 pm

Finally I can use my contra 14m with my barn door :roll:

Jokes aside I think the only gear I will have in my car is a camcorder and a camera. Riding at 35 -40kts is one thing, being hit by a 60kts gust is another.

have fun and be safe (don't forget to post pics)
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Postby ironben » Mon Oct 25, 2010 8:40 pm



After watching this i even want to go more-NOT.
I really hopping they are wrong with this forecast. It would be so nice to do some riding in next few days.
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